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Sexta-feira, 16 de fevereiro de = 2007

AQUECIMENTO GLOBAL

Qual o futuro da Amaz=F4nia?

2007-02-16 - 00:58:28

=20

 

Lu=EDs=20 Mansu=EAto


Transforma=E7=E3o da=20 floresta amaz=F4nica em savana, aumento da temperatura em 4%, acima da = m=E9dia do=20 planeta, com picos de mais de 50=BA C at=E9 2070, diminui=E7=E3o da = quantidade de=20 chuva na regi=E3o e per=EDodos de seca mais longos. Essas = informa=E7=F5es podem at=E9=20 parecer roteiro de filme de fic=E7=E3o cient=EDfica, mas na realidade = =E9 apenas algumas=20 das previs=F5es para a Amaz=F4nia feitas por modelos matem=E1ticos, por = alguns dos=20 cientistas que comp=F5em o Painel Intergovernamental sobre Mudan=E7a do = Clima=20 (IPCC). As mudan=E7as acontecer=E3o caso o homem n=E3o fa=E7a nada para = frear o=20 aquecimento global, o qual =E9 causado pela emiss=E3o de gases (g=E1s = carb=F4nico, =F3xido=20 nitroso, entre outros) do efeito estufa emitidos para a atmosfera. O = principal=20 fator =E9 a alta atividade industrial humana somada =E0 emiss=E3o de = gases pelo=20 desmatamento em florestas como as da Amaz=F4nia. =

Os = dados foram=20 mostrados durante o semin=E1rio: =93Aquecimento Global: Implica=E7=F5es = do Relat=F3rio do=20 IPCC para a Amaz=F4nia=94, realizado na quarta-feira (14/02). Os = palestrantes foram=20 os pesquisadores do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amaz=F4nia = (INPA), Ant=F4nio=20 Ocimar Manzi, pesquisador do INPA e Gerente Executivo do Programa de = Grande=20 Escala da Biosfera Atmosfera na Amaz=F4nia (LBA/INPA), e Philip = Fearnside,=20 pesquisador da Coordena=E7=E3o de Pesquisas em Ecologia (CPEC/INPA). A = apresenta=E7=E3o=20 consistiu em uma s=EDntese do quarto relat=F3rio de avalia=E7=E3o do = sistema clim=E1tico,=20 dirigido aos tomadores de decis=E3o (governos, grandes corpora=E7=F5es, = etc), onde=20 foram analisadas evid=EAncias das mudan=E7as globais, calculadas as = for=E7antes=20 radiativas e feitas proje=E7=F5es futuras com modelos=20 clim=E1ticos.

Manzi disse que a estimativa =E9=20 que o calor aumente, em escala planet=E1ria, cerca de 0,2=BA C na = pr=F3xima d=E9cada, da=20 mesma forma que na d=E9cada passada. =93A Amaz=F4nia sentir=E1 mais os = efeitos da queima=20 dos combust=EDveis f=F3sseis (carv=E3o, petr=F3leo, etc), respons=E1veis = pela emiss=E3o dos=20 gases de efeito estufa. O que, considerando uma sensitividade = clim=E1tica de=20 probabilidade m=E9dia (com 50% de chance de englobar o valor real), = poder=E1 elevar=20 a temperatura em 1=BA C nos pr=F3ximos 20 anos e de 3 a 4,5=BA C at=E9 = 2100. Isso se=20 deve porque a regi=E3o est=E1 localizada em uma parte continental do = planeta que=20 deve se aquecer mais que o aquecimento m=E9dio da Terra=94, informou.=20

Manzi tamb=E9m falou que a concentra=E7=E3o de g=E1s = carb=F4nico em 2005, na=20 atmosfera global, era de 379 partes por milh=E3o (ppm), com uma m=E9dia = de aumento=20 de 1,9 ppm por ano nos =FAltimos cinco anos, considerado elevada, = segundo os=20 cientistas. Segundo Manzi, o aumento da temperatura no planeta, no = per=EDodo de=20 1906 a 2005, foi de 0,74=BAC.

Durante o semin=E1rio, ficou uma grande d=FAvida: O = el ni=F1o,=20 um dos principais fen=F4menos = meteorol=F3gicos=20 que provoca secas em grandes parte da Amaz=F4nia passar=E1 a ser = permanente? Segundo=20 Fearnside, nota-se que o el=20 ni=F1o est=E1 mais comum. Ele tamb=E9m disse que = v=E1rias pesquisas=20 indicam que o aumento da freq=FC=EAncia =E9 em conseq=FC=EAncia do = aquecimento global, o=20 qual causa =93condi=E7=F5es tipo el ni=F1o=94, ou seja, aquecimento da =E1gua da = superf=EDcie no=20 oceano Pac=EDfico, o gatilho que provoca o el ni=F1o, = respons=E1vel pelas mudan=E7as clim=E1ticas = em v=E1rias=20 regi=F5es do mundo, como, secas, chuvas torrenciais e ondas de calor.=20

Fearnside destacou = que apesar das=20 imprecis=F5es anteriores dos modelos matem=E1ticos, os quais s=E3o = usados para=20 calcular as conseq=FC=EAncias do efeito estufa e, conseq=FCentemente, o = aquecimento da=20 Terra, hoje, h=E1 uma confian=E7a maior nos modelos. Ele ressaltou que o = modelo do=20 Haedley Center, localizado no Reino Unido, reproduz bem o clima atual da = Amaz=F4nia e o aquecimento das =E1guas do oceano Pac=EDfico. E, tudo = indica, que=20 haver=E1 uma quantidade maior de el ni=F1os. =93Sempre que o fen=F4meno acontece causa = secas na=20 Amaz=F4nia e inc=EAndios, como os de Roraima e ondas de calor na Europa, = por=20 exemplo, o de 1998 e 2003=94, disse. =

Em rela=E7=E3o =E0 Amaz=F4nia, outros fatores tamb=E9m = contribuem para o alerta=20 vermelho, principalmente, os inc=EAndios. Foi o que informou Fearnside. = Isso=20 porque eles queimam a base das =E1rvores, ocasionando a morte das = mesmas. Ap=F3s a=20 morte, elas viram combust=EDvel para o pr=F3ximo inc=EAndio, o qual = ser=E1 bem mais=20 prejudicial. =93Existem pesquisas realizadas pelo Projeto Din=E2mica = Biol=F3gica de=20 Fragmentos Florestais (PDBFF), um conv=EAnio entre o INPA e o = Smithsonian (EUA),=20 que monitoram mais de 80 mil =E1rvores, onde observou-se que as = =E1rvores que=20 enfrentam condi=E7=F5es secas na borda est=E3o morrendo. Os mesmos dados = tamb=E9m s=E3o=20 confirmados pelos programa LBA=94, alertou Fearnside. =

A boa not=EDcia = -=20 Apesar de todas as cat=E1strofes, a boa not=EDcia =E9 que em um = estudo=20 publicado na Nature, em = 2006, as=20 probabilidades da sensitividade clim=E1tica serem muito altas, tudo = indica que=20 ser=E3o menores do que se pensava antes. Isto significa que, no caso de = um cen=E1rio=20 de sensitividade clim=E1tica alta (95% de chances de englobar o valor = real), a=20 temperatura antes prevista para ser de at=E9 50=BA C em 2070, s=F3 = alcan=E7aria um=20 patamar t=E3o elevado em 2100. Segundo Fearnside, o homem tem = pouqu=EDssimo tempo=20 para reverter a situa=E7=E3o.


Emiss=E3o de g=E1s carb=F4nico pela = floresta =96 =93Com o=20 aumento da temperatura, a floresta passa a necessitar de uma quantidade = maior de=20 =E1gua para a manuten=E7=E3o de suas fun=E7=F5es. Contudo, a chuva = poder=E1 diminuir. Com=20 isso, a floresta tender=E1 a desaparecer por duas raz=F5es. A primeira, = a alta=20 temperatura e, a segunda, a pouca quantidade de =E1gua. = Conseq=FCentemente,=20 clareiras surgir=E3o no meio da selva e, ao longo dos anos, a floresta = poder=E1=20 transformar-se em savana=94, explicou Fearnside.=20






3D""=20
  • Qual=20 o futuro da Amaz=F4nia? =
  • Peixe-camal= e=E3o n=E3o =E9=20 mais um mist=E9rio para pesquisadores =
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3D"Portal
=0A= =0A= =0A= =0A= =0A= =0A= =0A=
=0A= =0A= =0A= =0A=
Sexta-feira, 16 de fevereiro de = 2007

Em Evid=EAncia

AQUECIMENTO GLOBAL

Qual o futuro da = Amaz=F4nia?

2007-02-16 - 00:58:28

Transforma=E7=E3o da floresta amaz=F4nica em savana, aumento da = temperatura em 4%, acima da m=E9dia do planeta, com picos de mais 50=BA = C at=E9 2070,(...)

=09

Pesquisa utilizar=E1 = abelhas na poliniza=E7=E3o do camu-camu.

2007-02-16 - 01:02:26

Ela =E9 uma fruta rica em vitamina C (=E1cido asc=F3rbico). O alto = teor de =E1cido asc=F3rbico (2950 mg por 100g de fruto) =E9 superior ao = encontrado em frutas como a acerola,(...)

ENTREVISTA

Diretor do INPA diz que = Instituto precisa de mais recursos para ampliar pesquisas sobre a = regi=E3o

2007-02-06 - 10:28:51

=09

Dr. Adalberto Val concedeu a seguinte entrevista ao Portal = Amaz=F4nia: (...)

=20
=09
3D"Qual =20 =20 3D"Exposi=E7=E3o =09 =09
Servi=E7os
Webmail

3D"Redesenho 3D"Editais
=A9 2002-2007 INPA.=20 XHTML = Strict,=20 CSS,=20 WCAG = AAA,=20 508,=20 DaSilva = AAA, Tableless=0A= .
Av. Andr=E9 Ara=FAjo, 2936, Aleixo, CEP 69060-001, Manaus - AM, Fone: = (92)3643-3377.
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COLOR: #000000 } #menu A:active { BACKGROUND: #ccc; COLOR: #060 } #menu UL { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: = 0px; WIDTH: 8em; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FLOAT: left; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #menu LI { POSITION: relative } #menu UL UL { Z-INDEX: 500; POSITION: absolute; DISPLAY: none; TOP: auto } #menu UL UL UL { TOP: 0px; LEFT: 100% } DIV#menu H2:hover { BACKGROUND: url(/css/images/expand3.gif) #daf1ad no-repeat -999px = -9999px } DIV#menu LI:hover { Z-INDEX: 100; CURSOR: pointer } DIV#menu LI:hover UL UL { DISPLAY: none } DIV#menu LI LI:hover UL UL { DISPLAY: none } DIV#menu LI LI LI:hover UL UL { DISPLAY: none } DIV#menu LI LI LI LI:hover UL UL { DISPLAY: none } DIV#menu LI:hover UL { DISPLAY: block } DIV#menu LI LI:hover UL { DISPLAY: block } DIV#menu LI LI LI:hover UL { DISPLAY: block } DIV#menu LI LI LI LI:hover UL { DISPLAY: block } #principal_i { BACKGROUND-IMAGE: url(itens/bg.jpg); PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; = BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fff; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 770px; = PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FLOAT: left; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #esquerda_i { BACKGROUND-COLOR: #c0e9a7; WIDTH: 149px; FLOAT: left; HEIGHT: 410px } #menu_s_i { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 149px; = PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #menu_s_i UL { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: = 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #menu_s_i LI { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: = 0px; FLOAT: left; COLOR: #ffffff; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #menu_s_i LI A { PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN: 1px 0px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 2px; WIDTH: = 147px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, = Helvetica, sans-serif; BACKGROUND: #557f2b; COLOR: #fff; FONT-SIZE: = 11px; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 3px } #menu_s_i LI A:hover { BACKGROUND-COLOR: #daf1ad; COLOR: #006600 } #acta_i { MARGIN: 10px 0px 0px 1px } #centro_i { PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px = 10px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 470px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: = Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; FLOAT: left; HEIGHT: 100%; = PADDING-TOP: 0px } #centro_i H1 { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: = 0px; FONT-SIZE: 14px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #centro_i H2 { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: uppercase; MARGIN: 0px; = PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 10px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #centro_i P { LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; FONT-SIZE: 12px } #centro_i H3 { LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; FONT-SIZE: 12px } #centro_i UL { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: = 15px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 12px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #direita_i { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #cbd7d3; MARGIN: 1px 0px 0px = 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 135px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FLOAT: left; = MAX-HEIGHT: 100px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #menu_direita_i { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: = 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #menu_direita_i UL { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: = 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #menu_direita_i LI { TEXT-ALIGN: center; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff; = MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 132px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FLOAT: = left; COLOR: #003333; FONT-SIZE: 10px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #not_ant { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: = 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #not_ant UL { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: = 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #not_ant LI { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: = 0px; FLOAT: left; COLOR: #ffffff; PADDING-TOP: 0px } #not_ant LI A { BORDER-BOTTOM: #fff 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 4px; MARGIN: 1px 0px = 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 2px; WIDTH: 132px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: = block; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: = #003333; FONT-SIZE: 10px; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 4px } #not_ant LI A:hover { COLOR: #009999 } #not_ant LI A:visited { COLOR: #800080; TEXT-DECORATION: none } #address_i { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e5ffcf; MARGIN: 0px; = PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; CLEAR: both; PADDING-TOP: 0px } ------=_NextPart_000_000A_01CB20E2.74FB11E0--